... the adequacy of the probabilistic model also to predict the probabilistic Wöhler field for notched components. 12 12 2010 14 10 2011 13 01 2012 13 01 2012 extrapolation fatigue notch strength plates (structures) pressure vessels probability regression analysis steel stress...

...Dmitry V. Paramonov The main objective of the reported study was developing a method for predicting pellet-cladding interaction (PCI) failure probability in pressurized water reactor (PWR) fuel in transient conditions that would strike a balance between simplicity and accuracy, allows...

...Wenxing Zhou; Maher A. Nessim The optimal design level for onshore natural gas pipelines was explored through a hypothetical example, whereby the pipe wall thickness was assumed to be the sole design parameter. The probability distributions of the life-cycle costs of various candidate designs...

.... Then a probabilistic design methodology based on the ASME B&PV Code and focused on straight pipes with butt-welds is presented. The method ensures an acceptable reliability level for piping by keeping the failure probability within some upper threshold and accounting for the uncertainties of the design variables...

... assessment work. This paper presents an innovative, semiprobabilistic method that bridges the gap between a simple deterministic analysis and complex simulations. In the proposed method, a deterministic criterion of CSA Standard N285.8 is calibrated to specified target probabilities of pressure tube rupture...

...Sharif Rahman This paper presents a polynomial dimensional decomposition method for calculating the probability distributions of random crack-driving forces commonly encountered in elastic-plastic fracture analysis of ductile solids. The method involves a hierarchical decomposition...

... probability of structure with hysteresis loop characteristic is proposed. The first excursion probability is the function of many parameters, which is obtained by using artificial time histories. It is shown that when the tolerance level is normalized by the expected values of the maximum response...

... predictions. It was found that more realistic modeling of crack introduction had a major effect on the accuracy of failure predictions, with the effects of material hardening being of secondary importance. Comparison of failure probability curves obtained from both AR fracture test results and a combined...

... the failure probability of corroded pipelines in the gas and oil industries and to propose operating limit conditions for different types of loadings. To achieve these objectives, a probabilistic assessment program was developed using reliability index method and simulation techniques, and applied to estimate...

..., demonstration of the ceramic gun barrel technology. This body of work will focus on the derivation of analytic models for an N-layered tube to calculate the Weibull failure probabilities for a ceramic liner. Model results are verified through high-pressure burst testing of blank and sheathed ceramic tubes...

...David L. Rudland; Gery M. Wilkowski; Shinobu Kawaguchi; Naoto Hagiwara This paper presents an analytical procedure to predict the conditional probability of dynamic ductile axial crack arrest within one pipe joint length for pipeline materials operating at temperature above the brittle-to-ductile...

.... Associate Editor: S. Rahman. 05 November 2002 15 May 2003 04 11 2003 series (mathematics) Monte Carlo methods elongation yield point plastic deformation probability It is very important to choose a snug torque high enough to close all gaps and to make sure that all...

... models 23 . A method is given to describe the probability S-N relations of the present test data as following: Taking logarithm to the both sides of Eq. ( 1 ) yields (3) log   N = 1 b   log   C − 1 b   log S − S o Let (4) Y = log   N...

...Shih-Jung Chang, ASME Fellow The conventional method of fracture probability calculations such as that adopted by the NRC-sponsored PRAISE CODE and the FAVOR CODE developed in this laboratory are both based on Monte Carlo simulation. Heavy computations are required. A new method of fracture...